electrification roundup

Stories You May Have Missed This Week: EV, Charging & Intelligent Electrification Roundup (07/01/26 Edition)

June 30, 202612 min read

By Keith Reynolds | Publisher & Editor, ChargedUp!

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Grid Stress, Storms and Resilience Economics

1. PJM Accelerated Its Backstop Auction to September and Told States to Set Cost Rules "Immediately"
The PJM board moved its one-time reliability backstop auction up to September from March, and warned member states in a May 19 letter that without state frameworks to allocate costs to new data center load, it is unclear which customers would be assigned those costs. PJM faces a projected 50 to 60 gigawatt capacity shortfall over the next decade, and its 2027/2028 auction cleared short of the reliability requirement for the first time in its history. The board combined its Connect and Manage and backstop processes, calling them too substantively linked to separate. For owners in the 13-state footprint, the September timeline compresses the window in which the who-pays question gets answered.

2. PJM's Backstop "Unlikely to Lower Power or Capacity Prices for Ratepayers," CBRE Warns
CBRE's energy analysts concluded that PJM's reliability backstop procurement will not lower power or capacity prices, and may raise them. The program lets data centers lock up most of the limited new gas and battery supply able to come online by mid-2031 through private bilateral contracts, removing those plants from the annual capacity auction and leaving remaining demand to compete for an even smaller pool. High prices negotiated through the program could remain on customer bills into the mid-2040s through contracts running up to 15 years. Less than 5 gigawatts of qualifying supply is in the queue against a 15-gigawatt target.


Electrification Economics at the Property Level

3. EIA: U.S. Electricity Consumption Rises 76 Billion kWh in 2026, 126 Billion More in 2027
The EIA's June 2026 Short-Term Energy Outlook projects U.S. electricity consumption rising 76 billion kilowatt-hours in 2026 and another 126 billion in 2027, driven largely by commercial, industrial, and transportation users. Renewables are expected to meet almost the entire increase, with solar generation up 19 percent and wind up 10 percent this year. The demand surge is the structural backdrop to every rate case and capacity auction now in motion.

4. Constraining Solar and Wind Could Trigger $121 Billion in Unnecessary Energy Costs, NERA Warns
A new study from NERA Economic Consulting warns that placing regulatory or permitting restrictions on new utility-scale solar and wind would distort power markets, force over-reliance on a volatile natural gas supply chain, and drive up bills for households and industrial buyers nationwide by an estimated $121 billion. For owners weighing onsite generation, the macro signal reinforces the case: constraining the cheapest new supply raises the grid-tied cost everyone pays.


Solar, Storage and VPPs

5. U.S. Storage Hit a Record Q1 With Solar-Plus-Storage at 91 Percent of New Capacity
The U.S. added 3.3 gigawatts and 8.4 gigawatt-hours of energy storage in Q1 2026, a record for the seasonally slow first quarter across all three market segments, per Wood Mackenzie and the American Clean Power Association. Solar and storage together accounted for 91 percent of nameplate generating capacity added in the quarter, and nearly 50 percent of new residential solar was paired with batteries. Cumulative U.S. storage is projected to reach 200 gigawatts and 655 gigawatt-hours by 2031, a fourfold increase. The commercial, community, and industrial segment is forecast to grow 26 percent through 2031 on behind-the-meter demand.

6. EIA: 24 Gigawatts of New Battery Storage in 2026, Up From a 15-Gigawatt Record in 2025
The EIA expects 24 gigawatts of new utility-scale battery storage to come online in 2026, surpassing the 15-gigawatt record set in 2025, with the U.S. now past 40 gigawatts of installed storage. Solar makes up 51 percent of the record 86 gigawatts of planned 2026 capacity additions, battery storage 28 percent. Texas hosts 53 percent of the new storage. Roughly 48 percent of grid storage is now co-located with solar to shift peak production and reduce curtailment.

7. The 179D and 30C Credits Closed Today. The Storage ITC Survived.
The Section 179D efficiency deduction and the Section 30C charging credit both terminate for property placed in service or construction begun after June 30, 2026. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act preserved the Section 48E energy storage Investment Tax Credit even as it accelerated the expiration of wind and solar credits. Wood Mackenzie expects utility-scale storage to claim 85 percent of capacity additions through 2031 as large-load customers sign colocation and capacity contracts. For owners who missed the closing windows, standalone storage remains the available federal capital tool.


Policy and Market Rules

8. PJM's Base Capacity Auction for 2028/29 Opened Today, June 30
PJM's base residual auction for the 2028/2029 delivery year began June 30, the result of which will set the target for the accelerated September backstop auction. Jefferies analysts estimate the backstop target has fallen to roughly 9 gigawatts from the original 14.9, and noted it remains unclear how the auction's costs will be confined to hyperscalers rather than existing ratepayers. The prior auction cleared at the $333.44 per megawatt-day cap for a third consecutive time. The outcome opening today is the most consequential near-term capacity-cost signal for the 13-state footprint.

9. 23 States Have Approved Large-Load Tariffs. Microsoft Filed Its Own in Nevada.
As of May 2026, 23 states have approved at least one large-load tariff requiring data centers to bear incremental grid infrastructure costs, per the Edison Electric Institute, with seven more pending. Microsoft filed a proposed Ratepayer Protection Tariff with the Public Utilities Commission of Nevada, proposing a Hyperscale Energy Users class capping residential rate increases at 2 percent. The filing is notable because a hyperscaler is proposing the framework rather than resisting it.

10. FERC Chairman Swett: PJM May Be "Too Big to Function"
FERC Chairman Laura Swett said in May that PJM may be too big to function, an unusually direct critique from the federal regulator overseeing the nation's largest grid operator as it struggles with data-center-driven capacity shortfalls and cost-allocation disputes. The comment frames the structural governance question now facing the 13-state market: whether an operator this large can set rules fast enough for the pace of large-load growth.


Local Governance and Federal Policy

11. xAI Added 19 Gas Turbines to Its Mississippi Data Center, Drawing Scrutiny
Elon Musk's xAI added 19 natural gas turbines to its Colossus 2 data center in Southaven, Mississippi, a case study in the onsite gas generation trend now drawing regulatory and community attention. The facility illustrates the behind-the-meter gas dynamic: self-supplied generation that sits outside utility regulation while competing for the same gas supply that sets regional electricity prices. For planners, it is a concrete example of the governance gap around large-load self-generation.

12. MISO Forecasts 35 Percent Load Growth by 2035, Centered in Illinois, Indiana, and Michigan
MISO's long-term forecast projects peak demand growing from 121 gigawatts in 2025 to 163 gigawatts by 2035, driven primarily by data centers reaching 20 percent of MISO electricity by 2030. MISO expects 8 to 14 gigawatts of new data centers online in those three states in 2026 and 2027 alone. A direct challenge to grid planning assumptions embedded in current comprehensive plans.

13. Illinois Freezes Data Center Tax Credits, Champaign County Imposes a Moratorium
Illinois Governor Pritzker proposed a two-year pause on new data center tax credit authorizations, citing rising household energy costs. Champaign County enacted a one-year moratorium on facilities of at least 10,000 square feet of processing space. Illinois offered 20-year tax exemptions in 2019; the reversal to moratorium in seven years is the template other states are studying.


EV Charging in Real Places

14. Amazon Now Runs 30,000 Electric Vans and 50,000 Chargers, Using AI to Push Past Break-Even TCO
At the ACT Expo, Amazon disclosed it operates more than 30,000 electric delivery vehicles and over 50,000 chargers, and is using AI on the resulting data to move from break-even total cost of ownership to better-than-break-even. The takeaway for fleet-adjacent property: charging has become a systems-and-software problem, with utilization, route matching, and demand-charge management determining whether the economics work, not the hardware nameplate.

15. 70 Percent of New Depot Charging Installs Now Use Dynamic Load Management to Cut Demand Charges
Seventy percent of new charging installations in 2025 used dynamic power allocation to manage peak demand charges and reduce grid stress, per industry deployment data, a figure reflecting how central load management has become to depot charging ROI. Dynamic load balancing is now a mandatory feature for any multi-unit depot, because chargers without it create demand-charge exposure that compromises site returns. For warehouse owners, this is the cost lever covered in this week's feature on uncontrolled charging.

16. Megawatt Charging Reaches Commercial Deployment at Up to 750 kW per Connector
Scania's first Megawatt Charging System trucks became commercially available in early 2026, with initial connector configurations delivering up to 750 kilowatts, enabling a Class 8 truck to reach 80 percent charge within a 45-minute driver rest break. MCS sites behave like industrial loads, requiring switchgear upgrades and utility coordination that can take 12 to 36 months. For logistics park developers, the electrical room design decision now determines whether a site can host heavy-duty charging at all.

17. Amazon Runs 30,000 Electric Vans and 50,000 Chargers, Using AI to Push Past Break-Even

Amazon operates more than 30,000 electric delivery vehicles and more than 50,000 chargers, an executive disclosed at the ACT Expo, and now applies artificial intelligence to the resulting data to move from break-even total cost of ownership to better than break-even. The signal for logistics and warehouse owners carries past Amazon’s scale: fleet charging has become a systems and software problem, where utilization, load management, and energy strategy determine the economics. Roughly 70 percent of new depot charging installations in 2025 used dynamic load management to control peak demand charges, which can reach half to seventy percent of a commercial electricity bill. The property designed for demand-charge management and make-ready infrastructure holds a leasing advantage as fleets consolidate around sites that already solved the power problem.

EV Market Signals

18. Charging Network Usage Is Rising in the U.S. Even as New EV Sales Soften
U.S. charging network usage is climbing, a direct sign of a growing on-road EV fleet, even as new vehicle sales softened in early 2026 after federal credits expired, per IEA data. NEVI funding resumed in January after an 11-month pause, with about 550 NEVI-funded fast-charging points operational across 19 states as of April and another 1,000 awarded. Meeting 2030 targets still requires adding a charger roughly every three minutes for the rest of the decade. For site owners, rising utilization on the installed base matters more than the new-sales headline.

19. More Than 650 Utilities Now Offer Fleet Programs, With $5 Billion Annually Through 2028
The 2026 State of Sustainable Fleets report found that despite the expiration of federal commercial EV credits worth up to $40,000 per heavy-duty vehicle, more than $5 billion annually in state, local, and utility funding remains available through 2028, with more than 650 utilities now offering fleet electrification programs. Medium-duty battery-electric registrations hit record levels in 2025, led by delivery vans and municipal fleets. The incentive stack survived the federal rollback at the state and utility level.

20. The Global EV Fleet Displaced 1.2 Million Barrels of Oil Per Day in 2025
The IEA estimates the global electric car stock displaced approximately 1.2 million barrels of oil per day in 2025, with global EV sales projected to reach 23 million units in 2026, nearly 28 percent of the world car market. For a CRE audience tracking the energy-security thesis, the displacement figure quantifies how electrification narrows fuel-price exposure at the system level, even as U.S. adoption corrects after the credit expiration.


Data Center Demand and Innovation

20. Hyperscaler AI Capex Hits $750 Billion in 2026, and It May Accelerate Charging Infrastructure
Hyperscaler capital spending on AI compute data centers reaches roughly $750 billion in 2026, per figures cited at the ACT Expo. Industry leaders argued the scale could indirectly benefit EV charging: once the industry solves how to deploy gigawatts of power quickly for data centers, that capability transfers to deploying charging infrastructure faster. The same grid bottleneck constrains both, and the capital flooding into one may unlock solutions for the other.

21. EU Signs Tripartite Agreement to Accelerate Energy Storage as Data Center Demand Globalizes
The European Union announced a tripartite agreement to accelerate energy storage deployment over the next two years, and Energy Dome signed its second low-carbon energy supply contract with Google, signs that the data-center-and-storage convergence tracked in the U.S. is now a global procurement market. For U.S. owners, the international scaling reinforces the supply-chain and pricing dynamics shaping domestic battery availability.

22. 30-50 Percent of 2026 AI Data Centers Will Be Delayed or Canceled on Hardware Shortages
Sightline Climate estimates 30-50 percent of AI data centers scheduled to open in 2026 will be delayed or canceled, with only 5 gigawatts under construction out of 16 gigawatts announced. The constraint is high-power transformers at three-to-five-year lead times and switchgear sold out through 2028, not capital. For industrial owners near transformer manufacturers and substation corridors, the constraint is creating measurable locational value.

23. Innovation Spotlight: Cellular Power on Wheels
The shift toward decentralized energy orchestration highlights the growing intersection of automotive mobility and localized power networks. A compelling real-world blueprint of this concept emerged in the Create the Future Design Contest organized by SAE Media Group (SMG) , where inventor Anteneh Gashaw submitted the Distributed Intelligent Vehicle to Vehicle Charging Relay Network (DIVVCRN). This innovative infrastructure concept transforms sequentially parked electric vehicles into active charging nodes and dynamic energy relay points, allowing multiple cars to share high voltage DC power from a single grid connection through specialized front and rear conductive couplers. By embedding an Intelligent Power Distribution Module (IPDM) into each vehicle, the network balances loads dynamically and isolates faults locally without interrupting the broader downstream charging sequence. This modular approach stands out as a brilliant application of cellular power principles at the property level, and we applaud Gashaw on a stellar entry while wishing all of this year's contenders the best of luck as they reshape infrastructure efficiency.


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